Who rotated my cookie? The all-too-common mistake when presenting Bayesian inference to strain at the gnat of the prior while swallowing the camel of the likelihood
Sander Greenland pointed me to this amusing little book that introduces Bayesian inference using a simple example of a kid taking a bite out of a cookie: Literal-minded statistician that I am, I noticed a problem here: that 1⁄3 probability … Continue reading → …