Exploring the boundaries of predictability: what can we forecast, and when should we give up?

Yahoo Big Thinkers Sunnyvale, California Friday 26 June 2015, 3:00-4:00 pm Location: Yahoo Sunnyvale Campus and LIVE at labs.yahoo.com Why is it that we can accurately forecast a solar eclipse in 1000 years time, but we have no idea whether Yahoo’s stock price will rise or fall tomorrow? Or why can we forecast electricity consumption next week with remarkable precision, but we cannot forecast exchange rate fluctuations in the next …