When I was asked, Who do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination?, this is how I responded . . .

A reporter emailed me: Question on deadline: As of now, who do you think is most likely to win the Democratic nomination: Sanders, Buttigieg or one of the others? I responded: My response is that primaries are hard to predict. Just to be clear: I’m not denying the possibility of useful predictive modeling, I’m just …